Chad is the editor of AINalerts, AIN's daily business aviation newsletter, and is also the news editor at AIN Media Group.&nbsp;He has been writing about aviation, with an emphasis on business aviation, since 1994. Chad started his writing career at The Avion,&nbsp;the&nbsp;student newspaper at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in Daytona Beach, Florida, serving as editor-in-chief before graduating with a bachelor's in aeronautical science. After a stint as managing editor at Professional Pilot&nbsp;magazine, he joined&nbsp;AIN in late 1998. Chad holds a commercial pilot certificated with instrument and multi-engine ratings, and he also is a CFI/CFII. He lives and works from his home in Venice, Florida.

Online Editor

Chad Trautvetter

Argus International TraqPak analysts estimate that North American business aircraft flight activity will increase 25.4 percent year-over-year in the first six months of 2021, but will still be down 13.2 percent from 2019. “As we move into 2021, we see plenty of reasons for cautious optimism for our agile industry,” said Argus v-p of market intelligence Travis Kuhn.

 


Flying is expected to see year-over-year growth starting next month, following January’s 10.4 percent decline from a year ago (-10.8 percent from January 2019) and this month’s estimated fall of about 15 percent from both February 2020 and 2019. April activity is projected to climb a whopping 196 percent from a year earlier, when flight activity cratered as much of the U.S. was mired in pandemic lockdowns. However, that would still be off by 15.5 percent from April 2019, Argus said.

 


June could mark the industry’s return to a more normal (pre-pandemic) level, down by an estimated 6.5 percent from 2019. Kuhn is optimistic about the second half of the year, though Argus isn’t able to accurately forecast that far out. “As we closely monitor the vaccine rollout, we will be looking at how business aviation’s recovery will follow,” he noted.

Argus: North American Bizav Flying Looking Up in 2021

Argus Intl TraqPak analysts estimate that North American business aircraft flight activity will increase 25.4 percent year-over-year in the first half.

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