Aviation International News senior correspondent Ian Goold has been involved in aerospace since 1964 and in aviation media for more than 40 years. He enjoyed a 20-year career at Flight International magazine, where he was latterly air-transport editor before turning freelance in 1993. A winner of the European Regions Airline Association Hank McGonagle award for excellence in aerospace journalism and a Royal Aeronautical Society Aerospace Journalist of the Year global&nbsp;award, he has edited or contributed to aerospace and aviation magazines, special publications, and websites in Africa, Asia/Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and North and South America. Ian entered aerospace as an apprentice at the British Aircraft Corporation at Brooklands (Weybridge), where he worked on production and final assembly lines of the Vickers Super VC10, and BAC One-Eleven , and manufacture of Concorde major sub-assemblies. He subsequently graduated from the BAC Design Training School to work in the airframe structures drawing office (including design of international future projects, such as the Panavia Tornado multi-role combat aircraft) before joining Flight International in 1973. Apart from years of reading aircraft magazines and books, his first direct contact with aviation media had come during the early 1970s when he was involved at Brooklands with the Weybridge Man-powered Aircraft Group, which designed and built the tenth aircraft to fly under purely human power. As an aviation journalist, he has worked at more than&nbsp; 50 of the major biennial&nbsp;global and regional international aerospace industry shows at Le Bourget, Farnborough, Singapore, and Dubai (having missed attending only one "Farnborough" since 1960), plus innumerable NBAA, HAI, (U.S.) AOPA, and EBACE Conventions and ERA Assemblies. His favourite aircraft is the Hawker Hunter, of which – as a schoolboy – he heard hundreds make their first flights from Dunsfold, where also on September 24, 2013, he saw the penultimate landing of the VC10 (happily involving an example of which he had witnessed the maiden takeoff in 1970) a day before the last example made the design's final flight (unless, of course....).

Senior correspondent

Ian Goold

“World air travel should grow [at] five percent per year between 2009 to 2028,” according to forecast data released last week by Brazilian aircraft manufacturer Embraer. The highest growth will be in China, estimated at more than 7.5 percent per year, followed by Latin America and Russia/Commonwealth of Independent States each at 6 percent. Close behind will be Asia/Pacific and Africa at around 5 percent, with the dominant Europe and North America regions (together accounting for almost 60 percent of the market) growing at 4 percent, according to the company’s forecast.
Embraer said Friday it sees demand valued at $220 billion for 6,750 jets with capacity for 30 to 120 passengers between next year and 2028. The majority of these aircraft–62.3 percent, or 3,800 units–will be required after 2018. The manufacturer reflects the forecasts of large-airplane suppliers Airbus and Boeing that average aircraft size will increase over the next 20 years.
“The 30- to 60-seat capacity segment will be under pressure,” according to the company. It believes that, over the next five years, this sector will suffer as operators–particularly in North America–are hit by the economic crisis and fuel prices, which will force airlines to review their strategies. New jets accommodating 61 to 120 passengers should help airlines match capacity to traffic by rightsizing on “thin” routes, replace older fleets, open new routes and increase frequencies on high-demand routes operated by smaller jets. Embraer said more than 700 aircraft with 30 to 120 seats are more than 20 years old and “should soon be replaced, [with] significant environmental benefits.”
The manufacturer’s full 20-year market outlook will be published online in January. Embraer has confirmed that, while initiatives for joint ventures or new products could arise later, “at the present time” it is not looking to join with other companies and has no large-airplane project.

Embraer confident about future of air-transport industry 

“World air travel should grow [at] five percent per year between 2009 to 2028,” according to forecast data released last week by Brazilian aircraft manufac

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