SMG Consulting has been closely tracking and supporting advanced air mobility since the new sector’s earliest days when there were certainly more doubters than backers. Sergio Cecutta and his California-based team have never shied away from making bold predictions, and its recently published outlook is no exception.
SMG's five predictions for the next 12 months represent insightful observations about a year that has been expected to see the launch of commercial eVTOL operations. There are hints of optimism from SMG, but some prescient caveats, too.
Starting with Volocopter, SMG’s experts say the German company will be the first Western manufacturer to certify an eVTOL aircraft. However, it does not expect this to be achieved in time for Volocopter to meet its declared objective of operating demonstration flights with its two-seat VoloCity vehicle during the Summer Olympic Games in Paris.
SMG also predicts that the FAA will issue a type inspection authorization to Joby Aviation for its four-passenger eVTOL aircraft. This would allow the company to start earning test flight credits toward the type certification it aims to secure in time for commercial operations to start in 2025.
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